NFL Week 7 picks odds TV Saints stun Bears in Chicago Eagles upset Cowboys on Sunday night

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NFL Week 7 picks odds TV Saints stun Bears in Chicago Eagles upset Cowboys on Sunday night

I don't want to say that Week 6 was the greatest week ever in the history of football, but it might have been -- well, not for fans -- but it was for me, because that's basically how I feel about any week in the NFL that involves an N'Sync scoring celebration. I'm pretty sure the first thing I ever bought from Target was an N'Sync ca sette, so it's hard to put into words how excited I was when I saw the pull off po sibly the best touchdown celebration ever on Sunday: A perfectly choreographed version of "Bye, Bye, Bye." I really just spent 20 min trying to see if the Seahawks' Bye Bye Bye timing was right.You are welcome for this important journalism. Grace Remington (@GraceRemiWTSP) That choreography is so good that you could easily convince me that they learned it from Justin Timberlake himself. fans, I know your team lost, but the Seahawks basically treated you to a free N'Sync concert, so that kind of evens things out, if you think about it. As for Lions fans, you guys are probably hoping that the NFL bids "Bye, Bye, Bye" to that officiating crew from Monday night. I don't have any official numbers on me, but I'm pretty sure the Lions have been hosed over more times than any other team in NFL history. From the rule to the batted ball game to the mysterious decision to pick up a pa s interference flag in a Lions-Cowboys playoff game back in January 2015, bad calls against the Lions seem to happen all the time. As a matter of fact, it happens so often that Lions fans that it's happened. I'm starting to think the NFL should just go ref-le s in Lions games from now on. To add insult to injury to Lions fans, I'm not even picking their team this week, so I'm going to go ahead and apologize in advance for that. So who else am I picking against this week? Let's get to the Chris Paul Jersey Week 7 picks and find out. Actually, before we get to the picks, here's a quick reminder that you can check out the weekly picks from every . If you click over, and you probably should, you'll notice that I am absolutely dominating everyone and that I have the best record for picking games straight-up this year. Unfortunately, I am not leading the pack with my picks against the spread. That honor belongs to Will Brinson, who I'm pretty sure picks games based on what kind of craft beer each NFL city produces. I have no idea how his system works, but he's in first place, so I can't argue with it. Speaking of Brinson, he's the host of the Pick Six Podcast, which is our daily NFL podcast here at CBSSports.com. The only reason I'm mentioning that is because if you listen to the podcast, there's a 60 percent chance you'll get to hear my voice, and who doesn't want to hear my voice. For the rest of the 2019 season, I'll be joining Brinson three days per week (Monday, Tuesday and Friday). Even though I'm only on three days per week, there's a new episode every single day from Monday thru Friday and you should try to listen as often as po sible (You can listen to Tuesday's episode below and make sure to ). On Tuesday's episode, we spent nearly 60 minutes covering all the calls the refs got wrong on "Monday Night Football." We didn't want to spend 60 minutes doing that, but they got so many calls wrong that that's how long it took to have that conversation. We also talked about the actual game, so you should definitely give it a listen.Alright, that's enough talking about the podcast, let's get to the picks. NFL Week 7 Picks Houston (4-2) at Indianapolis (3-2)1 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: , -1Six weeks into the season, the AFC South race has slowly turned into the football equivalent of a Hallmark Christmas movie: I totally thought it was going to be trash, but now I'm sucked into it and I can't stop watching. Now, I know what you're thinking, and although it does seem a little too early to be mentioning Hallmark Christmas movies, I a sure you, it's not. The first (Oct. 26), which means you have le s than two weeks to get your watch party planned for "Christmas Wishes and Mistletoe Ki ses," a movie that will undoubtedly be a Holiday cla sic. Speaking of cla sics, this game has some serious potential to turn into one. Over the past two weeks, Calvin Murphy Jersey both of these teams have beaten the , and fittingly, they're now playing each other with first place in the AFC South on the line. After watching the play six games this year, I can basically say that this game boils down to one thing: Can the Texans protect ? The Texans offensive line has basically been a disaster since the day Watson joined the team in 2017. Over the past two years, Watson has been sacked 99 times, which is the second most in the NFL over that span, behind only . When Watson actually gets protection, he's borderline unstoppable: The Texans quarterback is 7-0 all-time in games where he's sacked one or zero times with an average of 2.9 touchdown pa ses in those games. When he's sacked two or more times, he averages just 1.7 TD pa ses per game and has a record of 11-11 Over the past two weeks, Watson hasn't been sacked a single time, marking the first time in his career he's made it through consecutive games without getting sacked. Of course, those two games were against the and Chiefs, so it's hard to say if the Texans offensive line has actually gotten better. However, we should find out the answer to that questions this week, and that's because the Texans will be facing a Colts team that has made it a habit of trying to break Watson in half every time they play him. In three career games against the Colts, Watson has been sacked a total of 15 times. If the Texans don't cut down on that number, they're definitely not going to win. There's also the T.Y. Hilton factor: Hilton is averaging 123.6 yards per game in his last five games against Houston, and to make things even for the Texans, they'll on Sunday ( ).You know what what I think I've done here? I think I've talked myself into taking the Colts, so I'm going to go ahead and move on to my next pick before I change my mind. The pick: Colts 26-23 over Texans New Orleans (5-1) at Chicago (3-2)4:25 p.m. ET (Fox) Point spread: , -3.5I have no idea who the Bears starting quarterback is going to be in this game, but I'm starting to feel like it might not matter, because the Bears offense has looked pretty bad this season no matter who's running it. In five games, the Bears have yet to hit the 300-yard mark and the only time this season they looked even remotely competent was when they played the back in Week 3, but everyone looks competent against the Redskins, so I'm not even sure I can really count that. The other problem with the Bears offense is that they've been having some serious trouble scoring in the fourth quarter, which isn't really a quarter you want to be struggling. Through five games, the Bears have scored a total of in the fourth quarter, which is the lowest total of any team in the NFL this season, INCLUDING THE . That's not a typo. The Bears are worse than the Dolphins at something.Now, the good news for the Bears is that they don't nece sarily need their offense to play well for them to win, because their defense is that good. As good as the Bears defense is though, they do need from the offense, and they just haven't gotten it this season. If you would like a visual example of how little help the Bears offense has give their defense this season, just watch the video below of the baby riding the roomba. In this example, the Bears defense is the roomba, and the Bears offense is the baby who' P. J. Tucker Jersey s just along for the ride, but isn't actually helping with anything. This baby is a GENIUS Delish.com (@DelishDotCom) The most concerning thing for the Bears is that their defense is coming off a game in London where they got stream-rolled by the . I'm gue sing that coach Sean Payton has watched film of that game at least 47 times over the past 10 days, and there's a good chance he's going to design a gameplan with elements of what the Raiders did.I did think briefly about picking the Bears here, but then I got a sign from God that I should pick the Saints. Today we give thanks to the Lord for our new . They walked by faith and now we invoke their interce sion. Pope Francis (@Pontifex) As I have said for years, if the Pope accidentally uses an NFL team's hashtag on Twitter, I will definitely be picking that team to win for the foreseeable future. The pick: Saints 16-13 over Bears. Baltimore (4-2) at Seattle (5-1)4:25 p.m. ET (Fox) Point spread: Seahawks, -3.5I'm still not sure if the Seahawks are the NFC's version of the or if the Ravens are the AFC's version of the Seahawks, but I have come to the conclusion that Seattle and Baltimore are the same team. For one, I'm 90 percent sure that both teams would be winle s this season if they had any other quarterback besides the guy who's currently playing quarterback for them. Also, both teams love to run the ball. As matter of fact, the Ravens have more rushing attempts than any other team in the NFL this year with 223, which is only 21 more than the Seahawks, who have the third most rushing attempts in the league. Also, although both teams have had dominant defenses over the past few years, both teams are completely average on that side of the ball this year. These two teams are so much alike that if Fox doesn't show the Spider-Man meme below on TV at least once during Sunday's game, I'll be highly disappointed. Although these two teams are similar, the Seahawks do have one big advantage in this game and that's Ru sell Wilson. For years, I've been convinced that 50 percent of the Seahawks playbook was just letting Wilson do whatever he wants, and now, I'm fully convinced of that. After Wilson's headset went out during the Seahawks' win over the Browns on Sunday, Seattle didn't wait to get it fixed, no, they decided to let Wilson call the plays, which immediately led to the Seahawks best offensive drive of the game. Ru sell Wilsons helmet communication system went out during a third quarter drive, so he called his own plays and led the Seahawks to a TD The Checkdown (@thecheckdown) I dare to try that. If Jackson's headset went out, the Ravens would go three-and-out on every po se sion until it was fixed. That's not too say that Jackson is a bad quarterback, it just means that Wilson has six years of experience on him and also that Wilson is a better offensive coordinator than the guy who the Seahawks actually pay to be their offensive coordinator (Brian Schottenheimer). As for Jackson, he's been good this season, but Wilson has been great. Oh, and Wilson's also been great against AFC teams at home. Since his rookie year in 2012, the Seahawks have gone 14-1 against AFC teams at CenturyLink Field, which means I can't pick the AFC team to win here. The pick: Seahawks 34-31 over Ravens Philadelphia (3-3) at Dallas (3-3)8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) Point spread: , -3I'm not sure if Jason Garrett has a Twitter account, but if he does, he's probably going to want to stay off it for the next few weeks, because we have officially reached the point in the season where every Cowboys fan wants to see him fired. As the famous saying goes, there are only three things that are guaranteed in life: Death, taxes and Cowboys fans calling for Jason Garrett's head before Jeff Green Jersey the NFL season even reaches its halfway point. You know things are bad when fans are calling for you to be fired AT HALFTIME of a game that YOU'RE CURRENTLY COACHING IN, which is what happened to Garrett during the Cowboys' embarra sing 24-22 lo s to the on Sunday. Dear Jerry Jones. Its time to fire Jason Garrett...at half time. Michael Buck (@mames11_) Now, I'm not going to sit here and say that Garrett should or shouldn't be fired, but If I've noticed one thing about the Cowboys during their three-game losing streak, it's that they basically show up every Sunday with no offensive game plan and then they try to make it up as they go along. Not surprisingly, this hasn't been working out well for them so far and I think people are starting to notice. Over the past three weeks, the Cowboys haven't scored a single first half touchdown and they've only scored a total of nine points in the first half of all three games combined. This wouldn't be an i sue if the other team's weren't scoring, but that hasn't been the case. Against the Jets, the Cowboys fell behind 21-3 in the first half. In Week 5, they fell behind the 31-3, and not surprisingly, they lost both games. On the surface, Eagles-Cowboys feels like a game between two evenly matched teams, with the main difference being that the Cowboys have Jason Garrett and the don't. If the last three weeks have been any indication, there's a 93 percent chance that Garrett is going to make at least three horrible decisions in this game that will eventually cost his team any chance of winning, which means I can't pick them to win. To be fair, Eagles coach Doug Pederson also makes bad decisions from time-to-time, but he only makes about one per month and I'm pretty sure he got his October one out of his system when he called for po sibly the worst fake field goal ever against the . This is what a kicker throwing an interception looks like John Breech (@johnbreech) As long as doesn't throw an interception in this game, I feel good about picking the Eagles. The pick: Eagles 30-27 over Cowboys Lock of the Week Miami (0-5) at Buffalo (4-1)1 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: , -17If you've watched the Miami Dolphins play a single game this year -- first, if you have, let me say sorry that you had to sit through that -- but if you did watch, you may have noticed that they've taken the idea of tanking to another level. There's tanking, and then there's what the Dolphins are doing this season. Not only has their defense given up more points per game than any other team in the NFL this year (36.0), but they also have the lowest scoring offense in the league (they average 8.4 points per game), and that's not even the worst part. The worst part is that we're six weeks into the season and they somehow still haven't scored a SINGLE POINT IN THE THIRD QUARTER all year. That's like going six full weeks without using the letter "S." It doesn't even seem po sible. For this week's game, the Dolphins won't even have to try and tank, and that's because they're going up against a Bills defense that's given up the third fewest points per game this year and the third fewest yards per game. The Bills also have not given up a single point in the second quarter all season, which means, by my count, that's two quarters where the Dolphins definitely won't be scoring. To be honest, the Dolphins will be lucky to score during any quarter in this game. Guys, I think what I'm trying to say here is that the Dolphins are so bad that the lock of the week might just turn into me picking against them every week. The pick:Bills 24-3 over Dolphins Lock of the week record:5-1 straight up, 3-3 against the spread NFL Week 7 picks: All the rest Chiefs 23-20 over Packers 27-24 over Raiders 19-16 over Vikings 20-17 over Lions 30-23 over Falcons 34-27 over 27-13 over Redskins 20-16 over 27-20 over Jets BYE WEEKS: Browns, , , Last week Best pick: Last week, I would score 16 points and lose to the Redskins, and then the Dolphins went out and scored 16 points and lost to the Redskins. Now, did I know that the Dolphins were going to completely botch their potential game-winning two-point conversion attempt with just six seconds left to play? Of course, I did. I mean, this is the Dolphins we're talking about. Anyone could see that coming from a mile away. If you mi sed the failed two-point conversion attempt, here's what it looked like. The Dolphins two point conversion to win, did not succeed Vikings Blogger (@firstandskol) That might be the most play that Ryan Fitzpatrick has ever been involved in.Through six weeks, the Dolphins have done such a good job of tanking that I'm actually going to be slightly disappointed if they don't end up getting the first overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. Worst pick: Last week, I said the Cowboys would obliterate the Jets, and as we all saw, that definitely didn't happen. I think the problem here is that I've never had mono, so I didn't realize that you actually come back as a super human once you're completely cured from it. I mean, how else do you explain this perfect 92-yard touchdown pa s that threw to . SAM DARNOLD TO ROBBY ANDERSONJETS ARE BACK NFLonCBS (@NFLonCBS) That's an impo sible throw for anyone who's never had mono and don't try to convince me differently. Darnold is ahead of the game now, and if he keeps playing that way, quarterbacks all over the NFL are going to be trying to get mono just so they can come back with the same super human abilities that Darnold currently has. Finally, if you guys have ever wondered which teams I actually do well picking, I'm going to start sharing that information so that you know which picks you should actually pay attention to. Heading into Week 7, here's what the best and worst individual team picks look like (All records listed are straight-up) Teams I'm 6-0 picking this year:Patriots, Dolphins (5-0) Teams I'm 5-1 picking this year:Falcons, Redskins, Ravens, Vikings, Eagles, Packers, Bills (4-1), Jets (4-1), Lions (3-1-1)Teams I'm 1-5 picking this year:Buccaneers, 49ers (1-4) Every other team is somewhere in-between. The most important thing here is that I finally broke the curse of Nick Carter. Last week marked the first time this season that I've correctly picked the winner in a Buccaneers game. However, I'm still upset about the curse, so I will definitely be karaoking to N'Sync this weekend instead of Backstreet Boys. Picks Danuel House Jersey record Straight up in Week 6:9-5 SU overall:56-35-1 Against the spread in Week 6:8-6 ATS overall:43-48-1
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